Oscars 2019 Best Actress Predictions

Who’s going to win the Best Actress Oscar in 2019? Is it going to be an industry veteran like Nicole Kidman or is it going to be an ingénue like Saoirse Ronan? Or how about a pop singer? Well, we won’t know the answer to that question anytime soon, but there’s no harm in making intelligent guesses. Lately Best Actress races have been much more competitive than Best Actor. That might actually be good sign — Hollywood finally realizing importance of telling female-centric movies. This year, just like last, is looking very good for women-centric films and as a result we might yet again see a very crowded Best Actress field.

Update 6th Sep, 2018: After Telluride and Venice Film Festivals, A Star is Born and Roma have emerged as the strongest Oscar contenders. In terms of acting races, I expect the former to do better than latter. At this point of time, Lady Gaga is almost confirmed Best Actress nominee, whereas Roma’s central figure Yalitza Aparicio, who deserves the nomination more than anybody else, might struggle to make it top five. Another film that was warmly received and could potentially throw two Best Actress contenders in the mix is The Favorite. The conundrum, though, is that all three actresses in it — Olivia Colman, Emma Stone, Rachel Weisz — give very strong performances in the film and therefore, may end up canceling each other out. At this point, Fox Searchlight seems to be leaning towards campaigning Olivia Colman in Best Actress category, whereas other two in Best Supporting Actress category. Though, many are of the opinion that Emma Stone is the ideal choice for Best Actress campaign. Whatever choice Fox Searchlight makes in the end, unfortunately, this is not going to end well for the ladies.

Update 19th Sep, 2018: A Star is Born continued its good showing at TIFF — even though they lost People’s Choice Award to Green Book. Lady Gaga’s nomination is almost certain. Her singing in the film alone will carry her through. Apart from her, Melissa McCarthy’s chances are also looking very bright. She gives a truly transformative performance in Can You Ever Forgive Me. Another familiar name, Viola Davis, has also thrown her hat in the race. She is the heart and soul of ‘Widows’, a film that despite being great will be a hard sell to the Academy. Other contenders include Julia Roberts for Ben is Back and Nicole Kidman for Destroyer. I doubt that they are going to find a place in top five, given their respective films didn’t do very well at the festival.

Update 13th Dec, 2018: SAG Awards nominations are in. Unlike Best Actor, Best Actress nominees were more on expected lines. In fact, I won’t be surprised if the final five on Oscar nominee list also remains the same.

Update 19th January, 2019: For now, let’s keep the conversation on eventual Best Actress winner aside and let’s just delve into the actors who will get nominated on January 22 morning. I am very confident about top four on the list. The final place could go to either Yalitza Aparicio or Emily Blunt. Let’s jump into the list of actors I feel are guaranteed to get nominations. To read the full list of predictions, CLICK HERE.

Falling Out

11. Felicity Jones, ‘On the Basis of Sex’

Before I had seen ‘On the Basis of Sex’, I was hopeful of its Felicity Jones’ chances only because of the political climate we are in nowadays. Now that I have seen the film, I can break the news to you that her chances of making into top five is zilch. Not that she is not good, but the film itself is a mess.

10. Kiki Layne, ‘If Beale Street Could Talk’

We already know that Barry Jenkins is quite a talent. In ‘Moonlight’, he directed several Oscar-caliber performances. He is at the top of his game again in ‘If Beale Street Could Talk’. While Regina King is certain to get Best Supporting Actress nomination, Kiki Layne’s chances look close to zero.

9. Viola Davis, Widows

Viola, as always, is phenomenal in Widows. She absolutely deserves the nomination. But the problem here is that Widows is a genre film (a really good one). And to get an acting nomination for a genre film is almost impossible. Moreover, the film sank at the box office and with that Davis can also say goodbye to her chances.

8. Nicole Kidman, ‘Destroyer’

Kidman has had a career resurgence of sorts with films like ‘Lion’ and TV shows like ‘Big Little Lies’. Now, she takes her game a notch higher by playing a LAPD detective suffering from depression and substance abuse. While her performance is phenomenal, the film isn’t. And even though she has bagged a Golden Globe nomination, she will have a tough time breaking into the Oscar list.

7. Saoirse Ronan, ‘Mary Queen of Scots’

Saorise Roman is quite simply the best young actress working today. She, at 22, already has 3 Oscar nominations in her bag. With ‘Mary Queen of Scots’, she could scored her first win. But alas, the film is just not good enough. And therefore, Ronan might have to wait a little longer to win her first golden statuette.

Possible

6. Emily Blunt, ‘Mary Poppins Returns’

After receiving nominations at both Golden Globes and SAG, it is difficult to imagine how she won’t find a place in top five at the Oscar, especially considering the fact that ‘Mary Poppins Returns’ is all set to become a monstrous hit at the box office. And remember, she has also received a Best Supporting Actress SAG nomination for ‘A Quiet Place’. That further makes her case strong.

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5. Yalitza Aparicio, ‘Roma’

Yalitza Aparicio arguably gives the best performance of the year in Roma. Unfortunately for her, she is not a recognizable name. In fact, this is her debut film. So, her best bet to score a nomination is if the film does exceptionally well with the Academy.

4. Melissa McCarthy, ‘Can You Ever Forgive Me?’

Melissa McCarthy gives a truly transformative performance in ‘Can You Ever Forgive Me’. She is almost every frame of the film and gives it her all. The good news for her after initial hiccups, she is finally receiving the attention from precursor award groups.

3. Olivia Colman, ‘The Favorite’

‘The Favorite’ has been a tour de force this Oscar season. Recently, it received the most number of nominations, 14, from BFCA. Riding this wave of attention is film’s lead actress, Olivia Wilde, who looks all set to receive her first Best Actress nomination. I have to give credit to Fox Searchlight for their brilliant Oscar strategy of campaigning Wilde in the lead. This would also allow both Emma Stone and Rachel Weisz to grab Supporting Actress nominations.

2. Lady Gaga, ‘A Star is Born’

Hollywood loves superstars. They don’t care in what form they come. Lady Gaga gives a mesmerizing performance in A Star is Born. We all know how powerful her voice is. That voice helps her give a performance that will be difficult to ignore. She better find some space in her closet full of Grammys.

1. Glen Close, ‘The Wife’

Glen Close is possibly the most deserving living actress to not have an Oscar trophy. 6 nominations. 0 wins. That might change this year. She gives a terrific performance in a hard-hitting film. And top of that she almost sealed her victory with that amazing Golden Globe speech. To read the full list of predictions, CLICK HERE.

Read More: Best Picture Oscars 2019 Predictions

Read More: Best Actor Oscars 2019 Predictions

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