2018 was very different from other years when it comes to the Oscars race. While in most other years, we have a frontrunner by the month of December (sometimes earlier), this year things are still in flux. Here we are in January and still not sure which film is going to win the Best Picture. That certainly makes things interesting for the next few weeks.
If there is one film that has shown up consistently in all the guilds and critics awards, it is ‘Roma’. It has turned out to be a surprise frontrunner, if you want to call it that. I am also pretty sure it will lead the field with most number of Oscar nominations i.e. 10. A Star is Born’, which was considered a frontrunner till the HFPA decided to derail its train, is also going to rake an equal number of nominations. ‘The Favourite’ will closely follow them with 9 nominations. One of the films that fell of the grid, ‘First Man’, is expected to garner 8 nominations. If things had gone its way, it could have easily raked 11-12 nominations. Other films that are going to do well on the nominations day are ‘Black Panther’, ‘Marry Poppins Returns’, and ‘Bohemian Rhapsody’.
Anyway, as you all know, we here at The Cinemaholic do our best to bring to you the most accurate Oscar predictions. (We can officially claim to be most accurate predictors on internet considering we have consistently and correctly predicted at least 85 nominees out of 106/107 in 21 main categories for the past three years — a feat no publication, other than us, can claim to make). In 2017, we broke all records by predicting 94 nominees correctly. Last year we predicted 87 nominees correctly — better than all Oscar experts out there. But each year is different. This year is particularly difficult.
With that said, take your time to go through the predictions of all the 21 categories (we don’t predict the 3 shorts categories). It is a long list and will need some time to go through one by one. You can also come back, after the nominations are announced, to check how many correct predictions we made. Oscar nominations announcement will happen on Tuesday, 22nd January.
A Star is Born
Potential Surprises: First Man; Mary Poppins Returns; If Beale Street Could Talk